EuroOilWatch โ EU Fuel Reserve & Price Intelligence
EU fuel stocks remain under strain with 18 of 27 countries showing critical levels in at least one fuel category, though overall reserves stay above mandatory minimums.
Data period: 2026-03 ยท Updated 15 May 2026, 07:48
EU Average Fuel Reserves (Days of Supply)
Petrol
Min: 90d
Diesel
Min: 90d
Jet Fuel
Min: 90d
EU benchmark: 90 days of net imports or 61 days of consumption, whichever is higher (Directive 2009/119/EC)
Days of supply shown here are calculated from total EU consumption, not net imports. They indicate domestic buffer capacity and are not directly comparable to formal IEA compliance figures. See Methodology for details.
EU Average Reserves โ 18-Month Trend
Market Prices
Brent Crude
โฒ +1.57 (+1.5%)
Brent (EUR)
EU Avg Petrol
EU Avg Diesel
Physical NWE Crude โ Editorial Estimate
+42% above Brent futures benchmark
CIF NWE prompt delivery โ physical crude
As of 15 May 2026 ยท Editorial estimate ยท trade press (Reuters, Bloomberg, Argus)
Premium above Brent futures reflects Hormuz disruption + Red Sea constraints. Update by editing this JSON file and committing.
European Gas โ TTF vs Henry Hub + AGSI Storage
Updated dailyTTF (front-month)
โฌ47.65/MWh
โฒ 1.57%
Henry Hub
$2.935/MMBtu
โฒ 1.42%
Europe pays vs US
5.54ร
+$13.33/MMBtu
Open the full Gas Tracker โ TTF vs Henry Hub history, EU storage by country, 90% refill target
โEuropean Jet Fuel โ Country Days-of-Cover + ARA Hub
NewEU average
95.1days
strategic + commercial
Most-stressed
25.3days
Poland ยท 13 of 27 critical
ARA hub commercial
600kt
-7.6% WoW ยท 6-yr low
Open the full Jet Fuel Tracker โ 27-country breakdown, ARA hub trend, 18-month history, UK context
โActive Supply Disruption
Active since 1 May 2026Russia has halted Kazakh crude supply via Druzhba pipeline to Germany
PCK Schwedt refinery (supplies most of Berlin's fuel) has lost ~17% of its crude since 1 May. Germany says petroleum-product security is not in jeopardy because alternative routes exist, but its regulator has warned of regional pricing effects.
EU angle: An additional layer of regional supply friction with Brent above $100 and Hormuz shipping still heavily disrupted โ tightening North West European refining and diesel balances at the worst possible moment.
Source: Reuters.
Refinery Health Watch
NASA FIRMS VIIRS satellite detections within ~15 km of 24 major EU and Gulf refineries / terminals. Past 24 h. High Fire Radiative Power near a facility may indicate flaring, fire, or process incident โ not all detections indicate incidents.
OPEC+ Production โ global supply context
Full tracker on AmericasOilWatch โOPEC core
34.44mbpd
12 members ยท EIA, latest available
Russia
10.68mbpd
non-OPEC anchor
AI Analysis
European fuel security faces significant pressure as regional tensions continue to drive oil prices higher and strain emergency stockpiles. Brent crude has surged 48.1% since late February to $107.33/barrel, forcing several countries to tap strategic reserves. Despite this stress, EU-wide averages remain above the mandatory 90-day minimum at 112.8 days for petrol, 101.5 days for diesel, and 95.1 days for jet fuel.
The distribution of reserves reveals concerning disparities across member states. Romania faces the most severe situation with all three fuel types at critical levels, including dangerously low diesel stocks at just 30.2 days. Poland and Luxembourg also show critical status across all categories, while major economies like Germany and Italy struggle with diesel and jet fuel shortages despite adequate petrol reserves. Aviation fuel presents the broadest challenge, with 17 of 27 countries at critical or warning levels.
Fuel prices reflect the underlying supply pressures, with EU averages reaching โฌ1.817/L for petrol and โฌ1.897/L for diesel. The Netherlands and Denmark face the highest petrol costs above โฌ2.30/L, while Malta and Poland offer some relief with prices under โฌ1.50/L. The current situation requires careful monitoring as geopolitical tensions persist and winter demand approaches.
This analysis is generated by AI and may contain errors. It is not financial or safety advice. Always verify critical decisions with official sources including Eurostat, DG Energy, and your national energy agency.
Global Supply Routes โ Chokepoint Status
Hormuz, Suez, Bab-el-Mandeb, ARA hub โ current risk levels
News Feed โ What's Driving These Numbers?
Latest oil & fuel supply news from leading energy sources
Refinery Outages & Turnarounds New
1 headline tracked ยท 1 high-severity
Special Report โ The Fall of the UK? New
18 structural decline vectors modelled as a single system ยท 40โ70% probability of Accelerated Decline by 2035 ยท Free download
Special Report โ From Hormuz to Hunger
Independent systems risk analysis ยท The fertilizer cascade nobody is modelling ยท Free download
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EU27 Country Overview
27 countries with data23 of 27 reporting countries are below the 90-day benchmark for at least one fuel type. Data is the latest available from Eurostat; reporting dates vary by country. Stock data is published monthly with an approximate 2-month lag.
Cite this data โ Public API
Full docs โEvery number on this dashboard is available as JSON via a free, read-only API. CORS-enabled, no authentication, no key required. Built for journalists, analysts, researchers, and LLM agents who want to cite the source rather than scrape the page.
curl https://eurooilwatch.com/api/v1/stocks # EU-27 reserves
curl https://eurooilwatch.com/api/v1/gas # TTF + Henry Hub + AGSI
curl https://eurooilwatch.com/api/v1 # endpoint indexAttribution: cite as "EuroOilWatch โ eurooilwatch.com" alongside the underlying institutional source (Eurostat, EC, EIA, etc.) which is included in every payload.
Also available: RSS feed and a network activity page tracking newsletters, new analysis, reports and dashboard updates across all three OilWatch sites.
Data Sources
Crude Oil
Stooq (cb.f front-month)
Updated: 15/05/2026
Reserve data reflects the latest available Eurostat submissions per country, not real-time tank levels. Prices are national averages including all taxes. This dashboard refreshes daily to capture new submissions.
Weekly Fuel Security Briefing
Every Thursday: reserve status changes, price movements, and supply-risk signals across all 27 EU countries โ in one concise email.
Read by logistics operators, procurement teams, and energy analysts.