🛢️EuroOilWatch
EU FUEL SECURITY STATUSWARNING

EU fuel security shows mixed signals with adequate average reserves but 11 countries below critical thresholds for petrol and all countries except three critically short on diesel.

Data period: 2026-01 · Updated 31 Mar 2026, 14:44

EU Average Fuel Reserves (Days of Supply)

104days

Petrol

Min: 90d

94days

Diesel

Min: 90d

days

Jet Fuel

Min: 90d

EU mandatory minimum: 90 days of net imports (Directive 2009/119/EC)

Market Prices

Brent Crude

$107.16/barrel

-5.62 (-5.0%)

Brent (EUR)

€98.59/barrel

EU Avg Petrol

€1.682/litre

EU Avg Diesel

€1.824/litre
🤖

AI Analysis

Claude · 31 Mar, 15:05
Romania and Luxembourg face severe fuel shortages with petrol reserves below 50 days, well under the 90-day EU minimum
Diesel reserves are critically low across all EU countries, with none meeting the 90-day standard and most below 75 days
Complete absence of jet fuel reserves poses immediate risks to aviation and defense capabilities
Brent crude remains elevated at $107.16/barrel despite recent 5% decline, reflecting ongoing Middle East supply disruptions
Major price variations across member states suggest uneven supply chain resilience, with Netherlands paying 76% more than Bulgaria for petrol

Despite an EU average of 104.4 days for petrol reserves—well above the 90-day minimum—fuel security remains precarious across member states. Eleven countries fall below the 90-day threshold for petrol, with Romania (47.8 days) and Luxembourg (48.5 days) in particularly dire situations. The diesel picture is more alarming: only Greece (64.9 days), Germany (63.9 days), and Czechia (73.5 days) maintain what could be considered adequate reserves, though all remain below the 90-day standard.

The complete absence of jet fuel reserves (0 days EU-wide) represents a critical vulnerability for aviation and military operations. This coincides with elevated Brent crude prices at $107.16 per barrel, though the recent $5.62 decline suggests some market stabilization after the 27% surge during the current Middle East conflict.

Fuel prices reflect the underlying supply tensions, with petrol averaging €1.682/L and diesel €1.824/L across the EU. The price disparity between countries is significant—Netherlands petrol costs 76% more than Bulgaria's—indicating uneven market access and varying national taxation policies during this supply-constrained period.

This analysis is generated by AI and may contain errors. It is not financial or safety advice. Always verify critical decisions with official sources including Eurostat, DG Energy, and your national energy agency.

EU27 Country Overview

27 countries with data
🇷🇴Romania
Reserves38d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.49🛢 €1.65
🇱🇺Luxembourg
Reserves59d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.57🛢 €1.69
🇮🇪Ireland
Reserves60d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.76🛢 €1.98
🇵🇱Poland
Reserves61d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.53🛢 €1.71
🇮🇹Italy
Reserves67d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.82🛢 €2.03
🇪🇸Spain
Reserves69d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.63🛢 €1.83
🇸🇰Slovakia
Reserves72d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.52🛢 €1.53
🇫🇷France
Reserves73d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.82🛢 €1.96
🇧🇪Belgium
Reserves75d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.86🛢 €1.98
🇭🇷Croatia
Reserves75d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.54🛢 €1.62
🇦🇹Austria
Reserves76d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.74🛢 €1.91
🇬🇷Greece
Reserves84d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.77🛢 €1.83
🇩🇪Germany
Reserves86d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.88🛢 €2.15
🇨🇿Czechia
Reserves87d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.58🛢 €1.82
🇳🇱Netherlands
Reserves141d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €2.35🛢 €2.48
🇵🇹Portugal
Reserves84d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.77🛢 €1.88
🇸🇮Slovenia
Reserves97d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.44🛢 €1.48
🇸🇪Sweden
Reserves99d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.96🛢 €2.16
🇱🇹Lithuania
Reserves124d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.54🛢 €1.73
🇫🇮Finland
Reserves145d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.96🛢 €2.11
🇧🇬Bulgaria
Reserves97d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.33🛢 €1.44
🇭🇺Hungary
Reserves122d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.51🛢 €1.63
🇨🇾Cyprus
Reserves139d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.42🛢 €1.59
🇲🇹Malta
Reserves138d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.34🛢 €1.21
🇩🇰Denmark
Reserves149d
Jan 2026
⛽ €2.06🛢 €2.21
🇱🇻Latvia
Reserves177d
⏳ 2024
⛽ €1.59🛢 €1.78
🇪🇪Estonia
Reserves183d
Jan 2026
⛽ €1.61🛢 €1.86
Jan 2026Monthly data (latest)⏳ 2024Annual data (older — monthly not yet reported)

Data Sources

Oil Stocks

Eurostat (nrg_stk_oilm) — monthly, ~2-month lag

Period: 2026-01

Fuel Prices

EC Weekly Oil Bulletin — updated every Thursday

Date: 2026-03-23

Crude Oil

Yahoo Finance (BZ=F)

Updated: 31/03/2026